Congress is currently considering a bill, H.R. 2014, the “Propane Green Autogas Solutions Act of 2011”, to promote propane-fueled vehicles. ICF International was retained by the National Propane Gas Association to evaluate the potential economic benefits and costs of this legislation. This Executive Summary report provides a summary of the study approach and highlights the key conclusions of our analysis. The study methodology, inputs, outputs, and conclusions are discussed in more detail in the full report.
Summary of Conclusions
Our analysis of the economics of propane use as an alternative to conventional fuels in fleet applications indicates the propane vehicles are economic for many applications at current and projected propane and gasoline prices. Propane vehicle sales will expand relatively slowly in the absence of the tax credits proposed in H.R. 2014 or other incentives.
However, H.R. 2014 will have a significant impact on the number of propane vehicles sold, leading to substantial economic, energy security, and environmental benefits at little or no net cost to taxpayers. The key conclusions from the analysis are summarized below. The lower and upper estimates identified below reflect the impact of the tax credits on the ICF Base Case and ICF Optimistic Case scenarios.
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